Weather Markets Edge Desk
REMOTE · PREDICTIONMARKETSPICKS.COM
Kalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates.
Available components
Last scanned (11 hours ago)
Scores higher than 91% of remote servers
Reachable. Last reached 5 Nov 2026.
Category Finance and Payments
How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. How we score → Why this is hard to score →
Endpoint Security80
- The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key. View diagnostics → Pass
- No authorisation is required to call this server. Every tool declares its destructiveHint and none is destructive, so open access doesn't expose one. See how to fix → View diagnostics → Partial
- HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path. View diagnostics → Pass
- The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present. View diagnostics → Pass
- DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC. See how to fix → View diagnostics → Fail
Transport & Reachability100
- Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake. View diagnostics → Pass
Schema Quality & AI Usability77
- 100% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).Pass
- AI-judged instruction clarity (excellent).Pass
- Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 1540 tokens (~220/item across 7 items; 7 tools + 0 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params. See how to fix → Fail
- Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples. See how to fix → Fail
Stability & Change Management80
- Stability observed for 24 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.Partial
Tool Coverage100
- 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).Pass
- 100% of tool parameters carry a description.Pass
- Structured output schemas are declared (57% of tools); any adoption earns full credit.Pass
Tool Safety100
- No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.Pass
- We read all 7 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.Pass
- An AI judge read all 8 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.Pass
Capabilities100
- Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).Pass
Every change we have recorded for this component, newest first. Security-relevant changes are always shown. ▲ marks a change for the better, ▼ a change for the worse; unmarked changes are neutral.
- 5 Nov 26 0
- The server no longer declares the “resources” capability functional
- “weather_board” reworded the description of “day” cosmetic
- “kelly_size” reworded the description of “winProbability” cosmetic
- “kelly_size” reworded the description of “marketPrice” cosmetic
- “edge_alerts” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
- “kelly_size” made “winProbability” optional cosmetic
- “kelly_size” made “marketPrice” optional cosmetic
- 4 Nov 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 73 to 77. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 22 days of observed history at the previous scan, 23 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 2 Nov 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 67 to 70. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 20 days of observed history at the previous scan, 21 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 31 Oct 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 60 to 63. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 18 days of observed history at the previous scan, 19 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 29 Oct 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 53 to 57. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 16 days of observed history at the previous scan, 17 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 26 Oct 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 43 to 47. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 13 days of observed history at the previous scan, 14 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 24 Oct 26 +1
- Tool “edge_alerts” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
- “base_rate_gap” reworded the description of “baseRateId” cosmetic
- “kelly_size” reworded the description of “bankroll” cosmetic
- “edge_alerts” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
- “convert_probability” reworded the description of “value” cosmetic
- 23 Oct 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 33 to 37. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 10 days of observed history at the previous scan, 11 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
Diagnostic detail from the automated scan of this channel: what the scanner observed at each step, so you can see exactly where a check passed or failed. It is informational only and never changes the trust score.
Captured 5 Nov 2026 · Probed https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry
TLS valid
Negotiated TLS 1.3 with TLS_AES_128_GCM_SHA256 .
| Subject | Issuer | Valid from | Valid until | Key | Signature | Serial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN=predictionmarketspicks.com | CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US | 16 Sept 2026 | 15 Dec 2026 | RSA 2048 | SHA256-RSA | 5aa31648eccccea554207cced2a1d16fbb7 |
| SANs: predictionmarketspicks.com | ||||||
| CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US (CA) | CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US | 3 Sept 2025 | 2 Sept 2028 | RSA 2048 | SHA256-RSA | 4ebd24947e24d394802d84a52fd5b319 |
| CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US (CA) | CN=ISRG Root X1,O=Internet Security Research Group,C=US | 13 May 2026 | 2 Sept 2032 | RSA 4096 | SHA256-RSA | f24b6d17f9d9ad7cb1c9fea78782699f |
Background: What to check on a remote MCP endpoint →
DNSSEC insecure
Validation of predictionmarketspicks.com. — Not signed
| Zone | DS | Keys | Algorithms | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | trust_anchor | 20326, 38696 | 8, 8 | Verified |
| com. | present | 19718 | 13 | Verified |
| predictionmarketspicks.com. | absent | Unsigned (proven) parent-signed NSEC/NSEC3 proves an unsigned delegation |
Authentication No authorisation required
The endpoint answered without asking for a token. Anyone who knows the URL can reach it.
| Result | No authorisation required |
|---|---|
| HTTP status | 200 |
| Header | Value |
|---|---|
| strict-transport-security | max-age=31536000; includeSubDomains; preload |
| content-security-policy | default-src 'self'; script-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline' https://js.stripe.com https://www.googletagmanager.com https://www.googleadservices.com https://www.google-analytics.com https://ssl.google-analytics.com https://va.vercel-scripts.com https://platform.twitter.com https://cdn.syndication.twimg.com https://news.google.com https://bat.bing.net https://bat.bing.com; style-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline'; img-src 'self' data: blob: https:; media-src 'self' blob: data: https://*.supabase.co https://dts.podtrac.com https://api.spreaker.com https://*.spreaker.com; font-src 'self' data:; connect-src 'self' wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com https://api.elections.kalshi.com https://clob.polymarket.com https://gamma-api.polymarket.com https://*.supabase.co wss://*.supabase.co https://api.stripe.com https://checkout.stripe.com https://m.stripe.network https://www.google-analytics.com https://*.google-analytics.com https://analytics.google.com https://*.analytics.google.com https://stats.g.doubleclick.net https://www.googl |
| x-content-type-options | nosniff |
| x-frame-options | DENY |
| referrer-policy | strict-origin-when-cross-origin |
| permissions-policy | accelerometer=(), camera=(), microphone=(), geolocation=() |
Background: How OAuth 2.1 works in the 2026 MCP spec →
Transports 2 probes
| Transport | URL | Outcome | Status | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| streamable-http | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry | Verified | 200 | |
| http (plaintext) | http://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry | HTTPS enforced | 308 | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry |
The tools this component advertises to a client, with an estimated token cost for each. Expand a tool to see its parameters and schema. The per-tool counts are indicative and are not scored directly; the schema's total context footprint is one signal in Schema Quality & AI Usability. A tool's description is untrusted text the model reads on every call, which is what makes this list a security surface and not just an inventory: how tool poisoning works →
base_rate_gap Base Rate Gap ~191
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| baseRateId | – | – | Known base-rate id to look up (includes sample size + source). |
| baseRateValue | number | – | Your own base rate in % (0–100), used when no baseRateId is given. |
| marketPrice | number|string | – | Current market price in cents / implied probability % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
bayes_update Bayesian Probability Update ~205
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| evidence | array | – | One or more evidence items, applied in order. Each item needs likelihoodIfTrue and likelihoodIfFalse on the 0–100 scale, e.g. [{ "likelihoodIfTrue": 80, "likelihoodIfFalse": 20 }]. |
| prior | number|string | – | Prior probability the hypothesis is true, in % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
calculate_ev Calculate EV Edge ~194
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| marketPrice | number|string | – | Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
| yourProbability | number|string | – | Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| data_freshness | – | – | – |
| edge_pct | – | – | Expected-value edge, %. |
| edge_pp | – | – | Your probability minus the price, pp. |
| example_call | – | – | – |
| interpretation | – | – | Plain-English read. |
| market_price_cents | – | – | Price used, cents. |
| needs_input | – | – | – |
| signal | – | – | BUY / SELL / SKIP. |
| sources | – | – | – |
| tell_user | string | – | Show this sentence to the user first. |
| timestamp | string | – | – |
| your_probability_pct | – | – | Probability used, %. |
No examples provided.
convert_probability Convert Probability / Odds ~142
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| format | – | – | Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal. |
| value | number|string | – | The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format. |
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| american_odds | – | – | American odds, no commas. |
| data_freshness | – | – | – |
| decimal_odds | – | – | Decimal odds. |
| example_call | – | – | – |
| needs_input | – | – | – |
| probability_pct | – | – | Implied probability, %. |
| sources | – | – | – |
| tell_user | string | – | Show this sentence to the user first. |
| timestamp | string | – | – |
No examples provided.
edge_alerts Edge Alerts (weather / commodity / mispricing) ~216
Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| feed | string | – | Comma-separated feeds to include: weather, bitcoin, silver, gold, oil, mispricing, sports_arb, nfl. Omit for all. |
| limit | number|string|null | – | Max alerts to return (default 25; 4 when the call has no arguments). |
| min_tier | – | – | Minimum confidence tier (returns that tier and above). One of: SPECULATIVE · MODERATE · STRONG. |
| since | string | – | ISO-8601 timestamp — only alerts created after it. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
kelly_size Kelly Position Size ~300
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| bankroll | number|string | – | Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure. |
| fraction | – | – | Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth. |
| marketPrice | number|string | – | Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Omit both this and winProbability for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —… |
| winProbability | number|string | – | Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Omit both this and marketPrice for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —… |
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| applied_fraction_pct | – | – | The fraction applied, %. |
| data_freshness | – | – | – |
| example_call | – | – | – |
| full_kelly_pct | – | – | Full-Kelly fraction of bankroll, %. |
| needs_input | – | – | – |
| rating | – | – | Qualitative read of the sizing. |
| sources | – | – | – |
| stake_dollars | – | – | Suggested stake in dollars (when a bankroll was given). |
| tell_user | string | – | Show this sentence to the user first. |
| timestamp | string | – | – |
No examples provided.
weather_board Kalshi Weather Board — daily-high strikes vs the NWS forecast ~112
Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| city | string | – | City name or series ("nyc", "KXHIGHTBOS"). Omit for all. |
| day | – | – | today (default) · tomorrow · all. |
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| as_of | – | – | When the board was read. |
| cities | – | – | Per city and settlement day: NWS high, close time, strikes with two-sided YES mids. |
| data_freshness | – | – | – |
| example_call | – | – | – |
| needs_input | – | – | – |
| rule | – | – | The strict comparison Kalshi settles on. |
| sources | – | – | – |
| tell_user | string | – | Show this sentence to the user first. |
| timestamp | string | – | – |
No examples provided.
How do I install the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.
remote · predictionmarketspicks.com
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-weather 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry'
What is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/weather. Kalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry).
Is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server safe to use?
Weather Markets Edge Desk scores 85 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.
What tools does the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server expose?
Weather Markets Edge Desk exposes 7 tools: weather_board, edge_alerts, convert_probability, base_rate_gap, bayes_update, and 2 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 1,360 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.
Does the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server require authentication?
No. We connected to Weather Markets Edge Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.
Is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server still maintained?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 5 November 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.