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Prediction Markets Quant

REMOTE · PREDICTIONMARKETSPICKS.COM

Free, no key: NFL + NBA prop boards, NHL model, Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps, Fed odds, EV/Kelly.

+4 this week 83 Trust /100

Last scanned (11 hours ago)

Scores higher than 87% of remote servers

Reachable. Last reached 5 Nov 2026.

Category Finance and Payments

Trust breakdown (7 categories)

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. How we score → Why this is hard to score →

Endpoint Security80
Transport & Reachability100
Schema Quality & AI Usability66
  • 69% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).Partial
  • AI-judged instruction clarity (good).Pass
  • Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 7705 tokens (~171/item across 45 items; 40 tools + 5 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params. See how to fix → Fail
  • Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples. See how to fix → Fail
Stability & Change Management76
  • Stability check failed: schema churn in the 28 days we've observed: 6 tool removals, 0 breaking changes, 0 auth/transport breaks, 12 additions. See how to fix → Fail
Tool Coverage100
  • 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).Pass
  • 100% of tool parameters carry a description.Pass
  • Structured output schemas are declared (30% of tools); any adoption earns full credit.Pass
Tool Safety100
  • No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.Pass
  • We read all 40 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.Pass
  • An AI judge read all 42 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.Pass
Capabilities100
  • Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).Pass
  • Supports UI / widget rendering.Pass
Changelog

Every change we have recorded for this component, newest first. Security-relevant changes are always shown. ▲ marks a change for the better, ▼ a change for the worse; unmarked changes are neutral.

  • 5 Nov 26 +1
    • “fed_rate_odds” added an optional parameter “horizon” cosmetic
    • “kelly_size” reworded the description of “marketPrice” cosmetic
    • “kelly_size” reworded the description of “winProbability” cosmetic
    • “race_odds” reworded the description of “race” cosmetic
    • “weather_board” reworded the description of “day” cosmetic
    • “kelly_size” made “marketPrice” optional cosmetic
    • “kelly_size” made “winProbability” optional cosmetic
    • “race_odds” made “race” optional cosmetic

    8 cosmetic changes on this day. Switch on “Show cosmetic changes” to see them.

  • 3 Nov 26 +1
    • Server version: 1.29.0 → 1.30.0 functional
    • New tool “stress_test_strategy” functional
  • 1 Nov 26 +1

    No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 59 to 62.

  • 30 Oct 26 +1

    No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 52 to 56.

  • 28 Oct 26 0
    • “fifteen_min_board” added an optional parameter “horizon” cosmetic

    1 cosmetic change on this day. Switch on “Show cosmetic changes” to see it.

  • 27 Oct 26 +1

    No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 42 to 46.

  • 25 Oct 26 +1

    No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 36 to 39.

  • 24 Oct 26 −2
    • Stability: 0.50 → fail ▼ security
    • Tool “best_available” was removed ▼ security
    • Tool “who_do_i_draft” was removed ▼ security
    • Tool “scan_mispricings” was removed ▼ security
    • Tool “compare_players” was removed ▼ security
    • Tool “draft_board” was removed ▼ security
    • Tool “adp_market_gaps” was removed ▼ security
    • The server rewrote its instructions, which are the text every model session reads security
    • Tool “explain_game” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “explain_ladder” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “explain_player” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “explain_prop” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “fifteen_min_board” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “find_arbitrage” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “track_record” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “sleepers_and_busts” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Tool “edge_alerts” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads security
    • Schema quality: 9027 → 7223 ▲ functional
    • Server version: 1.28.0 → 1.29.0 functional
    • “nfl_prop_board” added an optional parameter “position” cosmetic
    • “edge_alerts” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “fifteen_min_board” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “find_arbitrage” reworded the description of “minGap” cosmetic
    • “kelly_size” reworded the description of “bankroll” cosmetic
    • “ladder_arb” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “ladder_arb” reworded the description of “min_edge” cosmetic
    • “ladder_arb” reworded the description of “min_volume” cosmetic
    • “nba_game_board” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nba_prop_board” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_edge” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_edge” reworded the description of “market” cosmetic
    • “nfl_edge” reworded the description of “minEdge” cosmetic
    • “nfl_edge” reworded the description of “tickers” cosmetic
    • “nfl_ladder” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_power_ratings” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_power_ratings” reworded the description of “tier” cosmetic
    • “nfl_prop_board” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_prop_edge” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nfl_prop_edge” reworded the description of “minEdge” cosmetic
    • “nfl_win_probability” reworded the description of “total” cosmetic
    • “nhl_edge” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “nhl_edge” reworded the description of “market” cosmetic
    • “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “asset” cosmetic
    • “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “entry” cosmetic
    • “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “margin” cosmetic
    • “waiver_targets” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “perps_board” reworded the description of “limit” cosmetic
    • “combo_edge” reworded the description of “offeredOdds” cosmetic
    • “combo_edge” reworded the description of “trueWinProbability” cosmetic
    • “commodity_edge” reworded the description of “tickers” cosmetic
    • “convert_probability” reworded the description of “value” cosmetic
    • “base_rate_gap” reworded the description of “baseRateId” cosmetic
    • “combo_edge” reworded the description of “legIds” cosmetic
    • “combo_edge” reworded the description of “legPrices” cosmetic
    • “combo_edge” reworded the description of “offeredAmerican” cosmetic
Diagnostics

Diagnostic detail from the automated scan of this channel: what the scanner observed at each step, so you can see exactly where a check passed or failed. It is informational only and never changes the trust score.

Captured 5 Nov 2026 · Probed https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry

TLS valid

Negotiated TLS 1.3 with TLS_AES_128_GCM_SHA256 .

Subject Issuer Valid from Valid until Key Signature Serial
CN=predictionmarketspicks.com CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US 16 Sept 2026 15 Dec 2026 RSA 2048 SHA256-RSA 5aa31648eccccea554207cced2a1d16fbb7
SANs: predictionmarketspicks.com
CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US (CA) CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US 3 Sept 2025 2 Sept 2028 RSA 2048 SHA256-RSA 4ebd24947e24d394802d84a52fd5b319
CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US (CA) CN=ISRG Root X1,O=Internet Security Research Group,C=US 13 May 2026 2 Sept 2032 RSA 4096 SHA256-RSA f24b6d17f9d9ad7cb1c9fea78782699f

Background: What to check on a remote MCP endpoint →

DNSSEC insecure

Validation of predictionmarketspicks.com. — Not signed

Zone DS Keys Algorithms Outcome
. trust_anchor 20326, 38696 8, 8 Verified
com. present 19718 13 Verified
predictionmarketspicks.com. absent Unsigned (proven) parent-signed NSEC/NSEC3 proves an unsigned delegation
Authentication No authorisation required

The endpoint answered without asking for a token. Anyone who knows the URL can reach it.

Result No authorisation required
HTTP status 200
Header Value
strict-transport-security max-age=31536000; includeSubDomains; preload
content-security-policy default-src 'self'; script-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline' https://js.stripe.com https://www.googletagmanager.com https://www.googleadservices.com https://www.google-analytics.com https://ssl.google-analytics.com https://va.vercel-scripts.com https://platform.twitter.com https://cdn.syndication.twimg.com https://news.google.com https://bat.bing.net https://bat.bing.com; style-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline'; img-src 'self' data: blob: https:; media-src 'self' blob: data: https://*.supabase.co https://dts.podtrac.com https://api.spreaker.com https://*.spreaker.com; font-src 'self' data:; connect-src 'self' wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com https://api.elections.kalshi.com https://clob.polymarket.com https://gamma-api.polymarket.com https://*.supabase.co wss://*.supabase.co https://api.stripe.com https://checkout.stripe.com https://m.stripe.network https://www.google-analytics.com https://*.google-analytics.com https://analytics.google.com https://*.analytics.google.com https://stats.g.doubleclick.net https://www.googl
x-content-type-options nosniff
x-frame-options DENY
referrer-policy strict-origin-when-cross-origin
permissions-policy accelerometer=(), camera=(), microphone=(), geolocation=()

Background: How OAuth 2.1 works in the 2026 MCP spec →

Transports 2 probes
Transport URL Outcome Status Location
streamable-http https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry Verified 200
http (plaintext) http://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry HTTPS enforced 308 https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry
MCP tools · 40 exposed · ~7,422 tokens

The tools this component advertises to a client, with an estimated token cost for each. Expand a tool to see its parameters and schema. The per-tool counts are indicative and are not scored directly; the schema's total context footprint is one signal in Schema Quality & AI Usability. A tool's description is untrusted text the model reads on every call, which is what makes this list a security surface and not just an inventory: how tool poisoning works →

Tool Tokens
base_rate_gap ~191

Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

NameTypeReqDescription
baseRateId––Known base-rate id to look up (includes sample size + source).
baseRateValuenumber–Your own base rate in % (0–100), used when no baseRateId is given.
marketPricenumber|string–Current market price in cents / implied probability % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

bayes_update ~205

Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".

NameTypeReqDescription
evidencearray–One or more evidence items, applied in order. Each item needs likelihoodIfTrue and likelihoodIfFalse on the 0–100 scale, e.g. [{ "likelihoodIfTrue": 80, "likelihoodIfFalse": 20 }].
priornumber|string–Prior probability the hypothesis is true, in % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

best_price ~217

Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost to buy one contract including each venue's taker fee, with the cheapest named. Sports games (team, league or matchup), 2026 midterm races (state, slug or district) or the next FOMC meeting. Ranked by price only.

NameTypeReqDescription
leaguestring–NBA, NHL, NFL or MLB.
meetingstring–Any value asks for the next FOMC meeting.
qstring–Free text: a team, matchup, race or "next Fed meeting".
racestring–A 2026 race: state, slug (georgia-senate) or district (AZ-01).
teamsstring–One or two teams, e.g. "Bears" or "NE @ CHI".

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

calculate_ev ~194

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

NameTypeReqDescription
marketPricenumber|string–Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
yourProbabilitynumber|string–Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
NameTypeReqDescription
data_freshness–––
edge_pct––Expected-value edge, %.
edge_pp––Your probability minus the price, pp.
example_call–––
interpretation––Plain-English read.
market_price_cents––Price used, cents.
needs_input–––
signal––BUY / SELL / SKIP.
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––
your_probability_pct––Probability used, %.

No examples provided.

combo_edge ~408

Use for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then legIds to price your pick with the correlation done for you. Or pass legPrices + trueWinProbability for a fair band; add offeredOdds for EV and a verdict. Free.

NameTypeReqDescription
kind––With nflGame: "game" = all game lines, "prop" = props only. One of: game · prop.
legIds––2–6 leg ids from a previous nflGame call (array or comma-separated string).
legPricesarray–Each leg's YES price in cents (1–99). Omit with nflGame + legIds.
limitnumber|string|null–With nflGame: max props listed (default 40, max 200).
nflGamestring–An NFL game on the live board, as "AWAY-HOME" (e.g. "NYG-LAR"). Alone: lists its legs with ids, trimmed (narrow with player/stat/kind/limit). With legIds: prices that exact combo.
offeredAmericannumber–Alias for offeredOdds; offeredOdds wins if both are sent.
offeredOddsnumber–The combo price you are quoted — American odds (-150, 988) or a decimal multiplier (10.7). Omit for fair value only.
playerstring–With nflGame: every strike for a player whose name contains this (e.g. "Mariota").
statstring–With nflGame: props of one stat (e.g. "rec_yds").
trueWinProbabilitynumber–Your estimate that all legs hit, in % (0–100). Omit with nflGame + legIds — we compute it.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

commodity_edge ~159

Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

NameTypeReqDescription
commodity––Which commodity edge to read (needed for a real answer). One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil.
tickersarray–Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

convert_probability ~142

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

NameTypeReqDescription
format––Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal.
valuenumber|string–The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format.
NameTypeReqDescription
american_odds––American odds, no commas.
data_freshness–––
decimal_odds––Decimal odds.
example_call–––
needs_input–––
probability_pct––Implied probability, %.
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

edge_alerts ~207

Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.

NameTypeReqDescription
feedstring–Comma-separated feeds to include: weather, bitcoin, silver, gold, oil, mispricing, sports_arb, nfl. Omit for all.
limitnumber|string|null–Max alerts to return (default 25).
min_tier––Minimum confidence tier (returns that tier and above). One of: SPECULATIVE · MODERATE · STRONG.
sincestring–ISO-8601 timestamp — only alerts created after it.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

explain_game ~153

Why our model prices one NFL game where it does: Kalshi price and market line, our win probability and its anchor, the model's lean in points, each team's offense/defense/special-teams rating, the QB gate, and the published position or why none. Use for "why do you price <team> vs <team> there", "explain the <team> game line".

NameTypeReqDescription
gamestring–The matchup — two teams in any form ("Bills vs Chiefs", "BUF@KC", "Buffalo at Kansas City"), or one team for its game that week.
weeknumber|string–Optional NFL week (e.g. 6). Defaults to the current week.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

explain_ladder ~202

Why The Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder (a game spread, a season win total or a player prop) the way it does: the read in words, where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, the widest published gap, and each strike with Kalshi's price and our number (30–70% only). Use for "explain the Chiefs win total ladder", "why does the ladder lean Browns".

NameTypeReqDescription
family––Ladder family. Omit to take the team's spread first. One of: spread · season_wins · props.
playerstring–Player name, full or partial — his prop ladder.
statstring–Prop stat for a player, e.g. "receptions" or "rec_yds". Defaults to his widest ladder.
teamstring–Team code or nickname (KC, Chiefs) — its game spread ladder, or its season-win ladder with family "season_wins".

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

explain_player ~133

Why our model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict, the widest published gap, and what the model does not account for (our number only where calibrated, 30–70%). Use for "why do you price <player> there", "explain <player>'s prop".

NameTypeReqDescription
playerstring–Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Puka Nacua").
statstring–Optional stat to narrow to, e.g. "rec_yds", "receptions", "rush_yds".

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

explain_prop ~185

Why we publish a call on one NFL player prop this week: the contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price, our tier (and calibrated odds where measured), our projection vs the threshold, published or held at WATCH and why, and what the model does not account for. Use for "why do you like <player>'s over", "explain the <player> prop".

NameTypeReqDescription
linenumber|string–Optional contract threshold or line (e.g. 60 or 59.5) to pick one strike.
playerstring–Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Josh Allen").
statstring–Optional stat, e.g. "rec_yds", "receptions", "rush_yds", "pass_tds" or "receiving yards". Defaults to the player's strongest published call.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

fed_rate_odds ~109

Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

NameTypeReqDescription
horizonnumber|string|null–Meetings in the rate path (default 3).
NameTypeReqDescription
by_venue––Next-meeting odds by venue (Kalshi, Polymarket, CME futures).
current_target_range––Current fed funds target range.
data_freshness–––
divergence_pp––Headline cross-venue gap for the next meeting, pp.
example_call–––
needs_input–––
next_meeting––Next FOMC meeting: date, days until, strike breakdown.
rate_path_2026––Implied outcome at each remaining 2026 meeting.
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

fifteen_min_board ~231

Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.

NameTypeReqDescription
asset_class––crypto · commodity · currency · all (default all).
horizon––15m (Kalshi, default) or 5m (Polymarket US BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; Kalshi lists none). One of: 15m · 5m.
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 30).
open_onlyboolean–Only series with a window open right now (default false).
seriesstring–One series: ticker (KXETH15M) or asset ("eth", "gold", "euro").
NameTypeReqDescription
as_of––When the board was read.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
our_model––Bitcoin only: our published top-of-hour strategy — version and status ("current version": it stays until it breaks), live_record (our own Kalshi account, after fees), paper record, last_call (the bot…
rows––Kalshi 15-minute series: window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source, up rate; for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP the same window on Polymarket (international, live book: price_source, as_of), a…
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

find_arbitrage ~131

Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

NameTypeReqDescription
minGapnumber|string–Minimum gap in percentage points to include (default 3 = WATCH threshold).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

kelly_size ~300

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

NameTypeReqDescription
bankrollnumber|string–Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure.
fraction––Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth.
marketPricenumber|string–Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Omit both this and winProbability for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…
winProbabilitynumber|string–Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Omit both this and marketPrice for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…
NameTypeReqDescription
applied_fraction_pct––The fraction applied, %.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
full_kelly_pct––Full-Kelly fraction of bankroll, %.
needs_input–––
rating––Qualitative read of the sizing.
sources–––
stake_dollars––Suggested stake in dollars (when a bankroll was given).
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

ladder_arb ~204

Use for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi". Kalshi college football and NFL spread/total strikes priced out of order: locked arbitrage, crossed-mid inversions and wide books worth making a market in, with both tickers and books, gross edge, volume and tier. Pro adds the resting orders, net-of-fee edge and quarter-Kelly size.

NameTypeReqDescription
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 20, max 100).
min_edgenumber|string–Minimum NET edge in cents (default 1). Accepts 2, "2c", "2".
min_volumenumber|string–Minimum per-leg volume in dollars (default 20000). Accepts 20000, "$20,000".
signal––locked · inverted · wide · all (default all).
sport––cfb · nfl · both (default both).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

market_pulse ~110

The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

NameTypeReqDescription
topic––macro = the US macro-health composite (the only topic). One of: macro.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

my_league ~130

Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and QB-gate flags, and every Kalshi prop strike on him this week with the best price per side. Market data; Pro adds our weekly projection.

NameTypeReqDescription
leaguestring–League name (partial) or Sleeper league id, when the user is in several.
sleeper_usernamestring–Sleeper username (profile → username, not the display name).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nba_game_board ~154

Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

NameTypeReqDescription
gamestring–Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
limitnumber|string|null–Max games (default 5).
market––Optional market. One of: moneyline · spread · total.
teamstring–Team code or name (NYK, Knicks).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nba_injury_impact ~196

Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.

NameTypeReqDescription
gamestring–Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ NYK".
playerstring–The absent player, or a teammate to look up (partial name).
stat––Stat to rank beneficiaries by (default points). One of: pts · reb · ast · min · usg · fg3m · stl · blk.
teamstring–Team code or name (PHI, Sixers).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nba_prop_board ~165

Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

NameTypeReqDescription
gamestring–Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 15).
playerstring–Player name (partial).
statType––Optional stat. One of: pts · reb · ast · threes.
teamstring–Team code or name (LAL, Lakers).

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nfl_edge ~210

Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championship odds: model probability, price, edge and side. tickers[] checks a watchlist (futures, mvp, championship). Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

NameTypeReqDescription
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 10).
market––game = this week; futures = win totals; mvp; championship = playoffs to Super Bowl. One of: game · futures · mvp · championship.
minEdgenumber|string–Min |edge| in pp (default 4), futures/mvp/championship only.
tickersarray–Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nfl_ladder ~191

Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at each strike beside our distribution and a SHAPE / LOCATION / PRICED / PARTIAL verdict. Our number is published only between 30% and 70%.

NameTypeReqDescription
family––Ladder family. Omit for all three. One of: spread · season_wins · props.
kind––Verdict filter. One of: shape · location · agree · partial.
limitnumber|string|null–Max ladders (default 8).
playerstring–Player name (partial, case-insensitive) — prop ladders only.
teamstring–Team abbrev (SEA, LAR, JAX) — ladders involving that club.
NameTypeReqDescription
count––Ladders returned.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
published_band––{ lo, hi } — our probability is published only inside this band.
rows––Ladders: subject, stat, verdict, and each rung with market and model (model only inside the published band).
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––
week––NFL week.

No examples provided.

nfl_power_ratings ~201

The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. Use for "best NFL teams by power rating", "NFL power rankings 2026", "is Baltimore overrated", "how good is Kansas City", "NFL team ratings".

NameTypeReqDescription
limitnumber|string|null–Max teams to return, best rating first (default 32 = full board).
teamstring–Optional team abbreviation (e.g. "KC", "SF", "LAR") — returns just that team's rating + rank.
tierstring–Optional tier: Elite (PWR ≥+7), Contender (≥+4), Playoff (≥+1), Average (≥−2), Below Avg (≥−5), Rebuild (<−5).
NameTypeReqDescription
as_of––When the ratings were generated.
count––Teams returned.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
season––Season.
sources–––
teams––Rank, team, PWR (points per game above average, neutral field) and tier.
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

nfl_prop_board ~290

Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN) and the Novig and ProphetX exchanges — the best price per side, how much cheaper Kalshi is than the books, the consensus gap, and the Kalshi close once a strike settles. Filter by team, game, player or stat.

NameTypeReqDescription
gamestring–Game anchor away-home, e.g. "ne-sea" — rows for that game only.
gapsOnlyboolean–Only strikes where Kalshi and the consensus are 5¢+ apart (default false).
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 15).
playerstring–Player name (partial, case-insensitive), e.g. "Nacua".
position––Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.
statType––Optional prop type filter. One of: pass_yds · pass_tds · rush_yds · rec_yds · receptions · anytime_td.
teamstring–Team abbrev (SEA, NE, LAR, JAX) — rows for that club only.
NameTypeReqDescription
count––Rows returned.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
rows––Priced Kalshi prop strikes: player, stat, strike, Kalshi book, consensus, venue quotes, gap, best price per side.
sources–––
summary––Board counts: listed, booked, consensus-priced, gaps, arbs, games.
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––
week––NFL week.

No examples provided.

nfl_prop_edge ~161

Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the projection and the edge, with WATCH rows labelled. Live in season. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

NameTypeReqDescription
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 10).
minEdgenumber|string–Min absolute edge in pp (default 5).
propType––Optional filter by prop type. One of: pass_yds · pass_tds · rush_yds · rec_yds · receptions · anytime_td.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

nfl_win_probability ~285

Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home favored negative). Returns win, cover and over/under probability, the projected score and our own total; neutral-site games get no home edge.

NameTypeReqDescription
awayTeamstring–Away team — same formats as homeTeam (SF, 49ers, San Francisco 49ers). Used with homeTeam.
gamestring–Or name the game in one string — "Bills vs Chiefs", "BUF@KC", "Buffalo at Kansas City". The schedule decides which side is home.
homeTeamstring–Home team — abbrev (KC), nickname (Chiefs), full name (Kansas City Chiefs) or city (Kansas City) all work. Auto-derives the spread from PMP power ratings.
spreadnumber–Point spread from the home team's perspective — home favored is NEGATIVE (e.g. -6.5). Provide this OR homeTeam+awayTeam.
totalnumber–Game total (over/under) you want tested, not our projection; defaults to the league average. Ours comes back as `model_total`.
NameTypeReqDescription
away_win_pct––Away win probability, %.
basis––How the spread was derived.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
expected_home_margin––Expected home margin in points — positive = home favored.
home_cover_pct––Home cover probability, %.
home_win_pct––Home win probability, %.
interpreted_as––Which teams the inputs were read as.
model_total––Our own projected total (teams mode).
needs_input–––
over_pct––Probability the game goes over `total`, %.
qb_gate––PASS/ADJUSTED/FORK (quote both fork_lines)/HOLD (no number).
sources–––
spread_home––Expected home margin in points — positive = home favored (the input `spread` uses the opposite sign). Same value as expected_home_margin.
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
this_week––This week's games as { homeTeam, awayTeam } (when no game was named).
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

nhl_edge ~187

Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. market=goals: anytime and first-goal contracts; market=futures: Cup, conference and division markets on Kalshi and Polymarket (international book) vs a 10,000-season sim. Free.

NameTypeReqDescription
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 16).
market––game = tonight's board; goals = player goals; futures = Stanley Cup and season markets. One of: game · goals · futures.
teamstring–Optional NHL club to filter — code (CAR, EDM, LAK), Kalshi code (LA, TB), nickname ("Oilers") or city ("Edmonton").

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

perp_liquidation ~226

Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

NameTypeReqDescription
asset––The perp.
entrynumber|string–Entry price (default: the live price).
hold_daysnumber–Days held, for the funding estimate (default 7).
leveragenumber|string–Leverage, e.g. 5 or "5x". Capped at Kalshi’s maximum for the size and side.
marginnumber|string–Margin in dollars (default 1000).
side––Direction. One of: long · short.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

perps_board ~114

Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

NameTypeReqDescription
assetstring–One perp: symbol or name ("btc", "gold", "XAG").
limitnumber|string|null–Max rows (default 25).
NameTypeReqDescription
as_of––When the board was read.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
rows––Kalshi perps: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage, funding.
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

player_outlook ~198

One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".

NameTypeReqDescription
platform––League platform — applies its default scoring, size, roster + best-ball settings (overridable by explicit scoring/teams). Underdog/DraftKings are best ball. One of: yahoo · espn · sleeper · nfl · cbs…
playerstring–Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Puka Nacua", "Bijan").
scoring––Scoring format: standard, half_ppr (default), or ppr (full PPR). Overrides a platform preset. Works for Yahoo/ESPN/Sleeper defaults. One of: standard · half_ppr · ppr.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

race_odds ~133

Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.

NameTypeReqDescription
racestring–State name or code, a race slug (kansas-senate, michigan-governor, tx-34-house), or a House district (TX-34). Omit to list the races available.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

senate_map ~83

Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.

Input schema present but exposes no named parameters.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

sleepers_and_busts ~111

Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price our model disagrees with this week, ranked, marked underpriced or overpriced with the stat driving it. Free, the complete list. The strike, price and size are in Pro nfl_prop_edge. Use for "undervalued players this week", "who is the market overpricing", "sleepers this week", "busts to avoid this week".

NameTypeReqDescription
position––Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

start_sit ~118

Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD price, compared on the stats they share. Market prices only — the call stays yours; Pro adds our weekly projection.

NameTypeReqDescription
players––Two to four player names, e.g. ["Puka Nacua", "Davante Adams"] or "Nacua, Adams".

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

stress_test_strategy ~379

Paste a prediction-market trade history (or just trades, wins and average price) and get whether the edge is statistically real, how many trades would prove it, and where it leaks. The verdict reads net per dollar staked after fees, never a pooled win rate, with the bar raised for every strategy version tried. Accepts positions, a CSV, or Kalshi's realized P&L export (lots are grouped into positions). Nothing you paste is stored.

NameTypeReqDescription
avg_price_cnumber|string–Quick check: average price paid per contract, ¢ (1–99).
csvstring–CSV text instead of trades: header price_c,contracts,won,fee_c,at,venue,maker (one row per position), or Kalshi's realized P&L export. Up to 10,000 lines.
makerboolean–Quick check: maker fills (Kalshi maker fee).
strategies_triednumber|string–How many versions you tried before this one (default 1). More tries raise the bar (Bonferroni).
trades––EITHER an array of positions [{ price_c (1–99, price paid per contract), contracts?, won (true | false | null = closed before settlement, then give net_c), fee_c? (total fee, ¢), net_c?, at? (ISO), v…
venue––Venue for fees when none are given: kalshi (fee computed), polymarket or other (fee 0, flagged). One of: kalshi · polymarket · other.
winsnumber|string–Quick check: how many of the trades won.
NameTypeReqDescription
buckets––Per price bucket: n, win %, break-even %, net ¢/contract.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
headline––One plain sentence: the verdict.
needs_input–––
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––
trades_needed––Trades that would settle it, or null.
verdict––edge_confirmed / losing / not_proven_yet (net per dollar staked).

No examples provided.

track_record ~145

Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD): W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era, and the NFL model's 2026 live record (published game positions and prop PLAYs) beside its backtest. WATCH calls are reported apart.

NameTypeReqDescription
lanestring–Optional lane: bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, nhl, potd, nfl — or an engine slug. Omit for every lane.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

waiver_targets ~152

Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a Sleeper username + league to see only players still available. Market data only.

NameTypeReqDescription
leaguestring–League name (partial) or id, when the user is in several.
limitnumber|string|null–Max players (default 10).
position––Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.
sleeper_usernamestring–Sleeper username — with it, players already rostered in your league are left out.

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

weather_board ~112

Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.

NameTypeReqDescription
citystring–City name or series ("nyc", "KXHIGHTBOS"). Omit for all.
day––today (default) · tomorrow · all.
NameTypeReqDescription
as_of––When the board was read.
cities––Per city and settlement day: NWS high, close time, strikes with two-sided YES mids.
data_freshness–––
example_call–––
needs_input–––
rule––The strict comparison Kalshi settles on.
sources–––
tell_userstring–Show this sentence to the user first.
timestampstring––

No examples provided.

Install

How do I install the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server?

Prediction Markets Quant is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

remote · predictionmarketspicks.com

# add to Claude Code
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-quant 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry'
Common questions

What is the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server?

Prediction Markets Quant is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/quant. Free, no key: NFL + NBA prop boards, NHL model, Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps, Fed odds, EV/Kelly. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry).

Is the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server safe to use?

Prediction Markets Quant scores 83 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

What tools does the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server expose?

Prediction Markets Quant exposes 40 tools: fed_rate_odds, calculate_ev, kelly_size, bayes_update, convert_probability, and 35 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 7,422 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

Does the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to Prediction Markets Quant without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

Is the Prediction Markets Quant MCP server still maintained?

Prediction Markets Quant is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 5 November 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.