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Russia–NATO risk ladder

REMOTE · MCP.RUSSIANATO.SITE

Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.

69 Trust /100

Last scanned (14 hours ago)

Scores higher than 59% of remote servers

Reachable. Last reached 18 Oct 2026.

Category Security

Trust breakdown (7 categories)

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. How we score → Why this is hard to score →

Endpoint Security74
Transport & Reachability100
Schema Quality & AI Usability62
  • AI-judged instruction clarity (fair).Partial
  • Tool/resource definitions use about 870 tokens (~108/item across 8 items; 8 tools + 0 resources), lean.Pass
  • Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples. See how to fix → Fail
Stability & Change Management10
  • Stability observed for 3 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.Partial
Tool Coverage88
  • 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).Pass
  • 65% of tool parameters carry a description.Partial
Tool Safety100
  • No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.Pass
  • We read all 8 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.Pass
  • An AI judge read all 9 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.Pass
Capabilities100
  • Implements a supported MCP spec version (2025-11-25); the latest is 2026-07-28.Pass
Changelog

Every change we have recorded for this component, newest first. Security-relevant changes are always shown. ▲ marks a change for the better, ▼ a change for the worse; unmarked changes are neutral.

  • 17 Oct 26 +1

    No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 3 to 7. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 1 days of observed history at the previous scan, 2 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

  • 16 Oct 26 0
    • Stability: unverified → 0.03 ▲ functional
  • 15 Oct 26 68

    First indexed and scored.

Diagnostics

Diagnostic detail from the automated scan of this channel: what the scanner observed at each step, so you can see exactly where a check passed or failed. It is informational only and never changes the trust score.

Captured 18 Oct 2026 · Probed https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

TLS valid

Negotiated TLS 1.3 with TLS_AES_128_GCM_SHA256 .

Subject Issuer Valid from Valid until Key Signature Serial
CN=russianato.site CN=WE1,O=Google Trust Services,C=US 15 Oct 2026 13 Jan 2027 ECDSA 256 ECDSA-SHA256 8d60bd2dc997f6f90ed8c51693b7b281
SANs: russianato.site, mcp.russianato.site, *.mcp.russianato.site
CN=WE1,O=Google Trust Services,C=US (CA) CN=GTS Root R4,O=Google Trust Services LLC,C=US 13 Dec 2023 20 Feb 2029 ECDSA 256 ECDSA-SHA384 7ff31977972c224a76155d13b6d685e3
CN=GTS Root R4,O=Google Trust Services LLC,C=US (CA) CN=GlobalSign Root CA,OU=Root CA,O=GlobalSign nv-sa,C=BE 15 Nov 2023 28 Jan 2028 ECDSA 384 SHA256-RSA 7fe530bf331343bedd821610493d8a1b

Background: What to check on a remote MCP endpoint →

DNSSEC insecure

Validation of mcp.russianato.site. — Not signed

Zone DS Keys Algorithms Outcome
. trust_anchor 20326, 38696 8, 8 Verified
site. present 31826 13 Verified
russianato.site. absent Unsigned (proven) parent-signed NSEC/NSEC3 proves an unsigned delegation
Authentication No authorisation required

The endpoint answered without asking for a token. Anyone who knows the URL can reach it.

Result No authorisation required
HTTP status 200

Background: How OAuth 2.1 works in the 2026 MCP spec →

Transports 2 probes
Transport URL Outcome Status Location
streamable-http https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp Verified 200
http (plaintext) http://mcp.russianato.site/mcp HTTPS enforced 301 https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp
MCP tools · 8 exposed · ~712 tokens

The tools this component advertises to a client, with an estimated token cost for each. Expand a tool to see its parameters and schema. The per-tool counts are indicative and are not scored directly; the schema's total context footprint is one signal in Schema Quality & AI Usability. A tool's description is untrusted text the model reads on every call, which is what makes this list a security surface and not just an inventory: how tool poisoning works →

Tool Tokens
get_changelog ~62

Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).

NameTypeReqDescription
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)
limitinteger––
typestring––

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_forecast_history ~81

Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.

NameTypeReqDescription
fromstring–YYYY-MM-DD
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)
seriesstring––
tostring–YYYY-MM-DD

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_intelligence_assessments ~105

Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.

NameTypeReqDescription
countrystring–ISO code: EE LV LT PL FI SE NO DK NL GB DE US
dimensionstring––
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)
limitinteger––

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_methodology ~47

Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.

NameTypeReqDescription
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_other_forecasts ~61

Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.

NameTypeReqDescription
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_overview ~70

Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).

NameTypeReqDescription
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_risk_ladder ~199

Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.

NameTypeReqDescription
datestring–YYYY-MM-DD; default = data date (as_of)
hybrid_pctnumber–What-if: annual probability of a destructive hybrid attack, %
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)
regional_share_pctnumber–What-if: share of attacks escalating into a regional war, %
scenario––optimistic | baseline | pessimistic, or a number from -1 to 1
scenario_factornumber–What-if: factor F by which intensity changes per year in the extreme scenarios
wide_share_pctnumber–What-if: share of regional wars escalating into a wider war, %

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

get_sources ~87

The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

NameTypeReqDescription
countrystring––
langstring–Language of text fields (default en)
limitinteger––
querystring––
typestring––

No output schema declared.

No examples provided.

Install

How do I install the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server?

Russia–NATO risk ladder is a hosted endpoint at https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

remote · mcp.russianato.site

# add to Claude Code
claude mcp add --transport http site-russianato-risk-ladder 'https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp'
Common questions

What is the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server?

Russia–NATO risk ladder is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as site.russianato/risk-ladder. Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp).

Is the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server safe to use?

Russia–NATO risk ladder scores 69 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

What tools does the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server expose?

Russia–NATO risk ladder exposes 8 tools: get_overview, get_risk_ladder, get_forecast_history, get_intelligence_assessments, get_sources, and 3 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 712 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

Does the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to Russia–NATO risk ladder without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

Is the Russia–NATO risk ladder MCP server still maintained?

Russia–NATO risk ladder is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 18 October 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.