Weather Markets Edge Desk
REMOTE · PREDICTIONMARKETSPICKS.COM · SCANNED SEP 27
Kalshi weather markets: live daily-high temperature edges, plus EV, Kelly and base-rate tools.
Available components
How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. How we score → Why this is hard to score →
Endpoint Security63
- The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key. View diagnostics → Pass
- Authorisation not fully verified: no authorisation is required to call this server, and 6 tool(s) never declared a destructiveHint. The MCP spec treats an absent hint as destructive by default, so we cannot call this surface safe. See how to fix → View diagnostics → Unverified
- HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path. View diagnostics → Pass
- The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present. View diagnostics → Pass
- DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC. See how to fix → View diagnostics → Fail
Transport & Reachability100
- Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake. View diagnostics → Pass
Schema Quality & AI Usability63
- AI-judged instruction clarity (excellent).Pass
- Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 1640 tokens (~273/item across 6 items; 6 tools + 0 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params. See how to fix → Fail
- Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples. See how to fix → Fail
Stability & Change Management57
- Stability observed for 17 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.Partial
Tool Coverage100
- 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).Pass
- 100% of tool parameters carry a description.Pass
Tool Safety100
- No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.Pass
- We read all 6 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.Pass
- An AI judge read all 7 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.Pass
Capabilities100
- Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).Pass
How do I install the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.
remote · predictionmarketspicks.com
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-weather 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp'
{
"mcpServers": {
"com-predictionmarketspicks-weather": {
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
}
}
} {
"servers": {
"com-predictionmarketspicks-weather": {
"type": "http",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
}
}
} [mcp_servers.com-predictionmarketspicks-weather] url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
{
"$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
"mcp": {
"com-predictionmarketspicks-weather": {
"type": "remote",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp",
"enabled": true
}
}
} openclaw mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-weather --url 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp' --transport streamable-http
mcp_servers:
com-predictionmarketspicks-weather:
url: "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp" {
"McpServers": {
"com-predictionmarketspicks-weather": {
"Transport": "http",
"Url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
}
}
} assistant mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-weather -t streamable-http -u 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp'
{
"mcpServers": {
"com-predictionmarketspicks-weather": {
"type": "http",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp"
}
}
} The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.
Every change we have recorded for this component, newest first. Security-relevant changes are always shown. ▲ marks a change for the better, ▼ a change for the worse; unmarked changes are neutral.
- 27 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 53 to 57. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 16 days of observed history at the previous scan, 17 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 25 Sept 26 +1
- We updated how we score, so this day's move reflects our rubric, not a change to the server See what changed → functional
- 23 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 40 to 43. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 12 days of observed history at the previous scan, 13 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 21 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 33 to 37. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 10 days of observed history at the previous scan, 11 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 19 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 27 to 30. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 8 days of observed history at the previous scan, 9 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 18 Sept 26 0
- The server rewrote its instructions, which are the text every model session reads security
- 17 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 20 to 23. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 6 days of observed history at the previous scan, 7 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
- 15 Sept 26 +1
No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 13 to 17. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 4 days of observed history at the previous scan, 5 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.
Diagnostic detail from the automated scan of this channel: what the scanner observed at each step, so you can see exactly where a check passed or failed. It is informational only and never changes the trust score.
Captured 27 Sept 2026 · Probed https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp
TLS valid
Negotiated TLS 1.3 with TLS_AES_128_GCM_SHA256 .
| Subject | Issuer | Valid from | Valid until | Key | Signature | Serial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN=predictionmarketspicks.com | CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US | 16 Sept 2026 | 15 Dec 2026 | RSA 2048 | SHA256-RSA | 5aa31648eccccea554207cced2a1d16fbb7 |
| SANs: predictionmarketspicks.com | ||||||
| CN=YR2,O=Let's Encrypt,C=US (CA) | CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US | 3 Sept 2025 | 2 Sept 2028 | RSA 2048 | SHA256-RSA | 4ebd24947e24d394802d84a52fd5b319 |
| CN=Root YR,O=ISRG,C=US (CA) | CN=ISRG Root X1,O=Internet Security Research Group,C=US | 13 May 2026 | 2 Sept 2032 | RSA 4096 | SHA256-RSA | f24b6d17f9d9ad7cb1c9fea78782699f |
Background: What to check on a remote MCP endpoint →
DNSSEC insecure
Validation of predictionmarketspicks.com. — Not signed
| Zone | DS | Keys | Algorithms | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | trust_anchor | 20326, 38696 | 8, 8 | Verified |
| com. | present | 19718 | 13 | Verified |
| predictionmarketspicks.com. | absent | Unsigned (proven) parent-signed NSEC/NSEC3 proves an unsigned delegation |
Authentication No authorisation required
The endpoint answered without asking for a token. Anyone who knows the URL can reach it.
| Result | No authorisation required |
|---|---|
| HTTP status | 200 |
| Header | Value |
|---|---|
| strict-transport-security | max-age=31536000; includeSubDomains; preload |
| content-security-policy | default-src 'self'; script-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline' https://js.stripe.com https://www.googletagmanager.com https://www.googleadservices.com https://www.google-analytics.com https://ssl.google-analytics.com https://va.vercel-scripts.com https://platform.twitter.com https://cdn.syndication.twimg.com https://news.google.com https://bat.bing.net https://bat.bing.com; style-src 'self' 'unsafe-inline'; img-src 'self' data: blob: https:; media-src 'self' blob: data: https://*.supabase.co https://dts.podtrac.com https://api.spreaker.com https://*.spreaker.com; font-src 'self' data:; connect-src 'self' https://api.elections.kalshi.com https://clob.polymarket.com https://gamma-api.polymarket.com https://*.supabase.co wss://*.supabase.co https://api.stripe.com https://checkout.stripe.com https://m.stripe.network https://www.google-analytics.com https://*.google-analytics.com https://analytics.google.com https://*.analytics.google.com https://stats.g.doubleclick.net https://www.googleadservices.com https://googleads.g. |
| x-content-type-options | nosniff |
| x-frame-options | DENY |
| referrer-policy | strict-origin-when-cross-origin |
| permissions-policy | accelerometer=(), camera=(), microphone=(), geolocation=() |
Background: How OAuth 2.1 works in the 2026 MCP spec →
Transports 2 probes
| Transport | URL | Outcome | Status | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| streamable-http | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp | Verified | 200 | |
| http (plaintext) | http://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp | HTTPS enforced | 308 | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp |
The tools this component advertises to a client, with an estimated token cost for each. Expand a tool to see its parameters and schema. The per-tool counts are indicative and are not scored directly; the schema's total context footprint is one signal in Schema Quality & AI Usability. A tool's description is untrusted text the model reads on every call, which is what makes this list a security surface and not just an inventory: how tool poisoning works →
base_rate_gap Base Rate Gap ~277
Compare a market price against the historical base rate for a class of events and get the gap in percentage points plus a signal and sample-size quality. Pass either a known base-rate id (one of: incumbent_reelected, fed_hold_unemp_below_4, fed_cut_cpi_above_3, recession_called_12mo, sp500_positive_year, bitcoin_above_100k_eoy, gdp_growth_above_2, cpi_above_3, senate_incumbent_wins_primary, vix_below_20_eoy, interest_rate_cut_next_meeting, major_sports_upset) or your own baseRateValue. Use for "how does this price compare to history", "is the market ignoring the base rate", "historical frequency vs market".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| baseRateId | string | – | Known base-rate id to look up (includes sample size + source). |
| baseRateValue | number | – | Your own base rate in % (0–100), used when no baseRateId is given. |
| marketPrice | – | yes | Current market price in cents / implied probability % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
bayes_update Bayesian Probability Update ~206
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| evidence | array | – | One or more evidence items, applied in order. Each item needs likelihoodIfTrue and likelihoodIfFalse on the 0–100 scale, e.g. [{ "likelihoodIfTrue": 80, "likelihoodIfFalse": 20 }]. A single item may… |
| prior | – | yes | Prior probability the hypothesis is true, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
calculate_ev Calculate EV Edge ~248
Calculate the expected-value edge on a Kalshi or Polymarket prediction-market contract. Given the current market price (in cents, i.e. the implied probability) and your own probability estimate, returns the % edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal with a plain-English read. Use for "is this contract mispriced", "what is my edge", "should I take this position". From the PredictionMarketsPicks desk, which publishes a settled per-engine record — every signal graded against the market that priced it, wins and losses both: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| marketPrice | – | yes | Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
| yourProbability | – | yes | Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
convert_probability Convert Probability / Odds ~150
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| format | – | yes | Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal. |
| value | – | yes | The numeric value to convert. Accepts a number or a numeric string ("+150", "62%", "2.5"). |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
edge_alerts Edge Alerts (weather / commodity / mispricing) ~277
Read the edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings — as a live feed. Each alert carries feed, tier (SPECULATIVE/MODERATE/STRONG), side, price in cents, model probability, edge in percentage points, and a Kalshi market link. A Pro key returns the feed in real time; without a key you get the same feed delayed 24 hours with the thesis stripped. Every subscriber receives the identical, impersonal feed at the same time — the signals are not tailored to any individual. Filters (feed, min_tier, since) SELECT which alerts you see; they never change the signal content. Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "weather trade signals", "latest mispricings". Impersonal market analysis for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Trade responsibly.
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| feed | string | – | Comma-separated feeds to include: weather, bitcoin, silver, gold, oil, mispricing, sports_arb, nfl. Omit for all. |
| limit | integer | – | Max alerts to return (default 25). |
| min_tier | string | – | Minimum confidence tier (returns that tier and above). |
| since | string | – | ISO-8601 timestamp — only alerts created after it. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
kelly_size Kelly Position Size ~269
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".
| Name | Type | Req | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| bankroll | – | – | Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure. Accepts a number or a numeric string ("1000", "$1,000"). |
| fraction | string | – | Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. |
| marketPrice | – | yes | Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
| winProbability | – | yes | Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%. |
No output schema declared.
No examples provided.
What is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/weather. Kalshi weather markets: live daily-high temperature edges, plus EV, Kelly and base-rate tools. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp).
Is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server safe to use?
Weather Markets Edge Desk scores 73 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.
What tools does the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server expose?
Weather Markets Edge Desk exposes 6 tools: edge_alerts, convert_probability, base_rate_gap, bayes_update, calculate_ev, kelly_size. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 1,427 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.
Does the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server require authentication?
No. We connected to Weather Markets Edge Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.
Is the Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server still maintained?
Weather Markets Edge Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 27 September 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.