# media.probable/news (remote · probable.media)

Cited news briefs and observed-corpus context. Free public reads; archives $0.10 or seven for $0.50.

- Trust score: 73/100 (medium)
- Change this week: +3
- Registry status: active
- Liveness: live
- Owner verified: no
- Last scored: 2026-09-20

## Components

- remote · `probable.media`: 73/100 (this document), [markdown](https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable.md), [page](https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable)

## Channel facts

- Endpoint: `https://probable.media/mcp`
- Transports: `streamable-http`
- Auth: `none`
- Version: `1.7.0`

## Trust breakdown

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. Scores are 0–100 per category. Scoring method: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring (what has changed: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring/changelog)

Scored 2026-09-20.

- **Endpoint Security**: 71/100
  - The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key.
  - No authorisation is required to call this server. Every tool declares its destructiveHint and none is destructive, so open access doesn't expose one.
  - HTTPS enforcement could not be verified: the plaintext port answered with HTTP 405, which proves neither a plaintext path nor enforcement.
  - The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present.
  - DNSSEC is configured correctly; the domain's records validate against the full chain to the root.
- **Transport & Reachability**: 100/100
  - Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake.
- **Schema Quality & AI Usability**: 67/100
  - 60% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).
  - AI-judged instruction clarity (good).
  - Tool/resource definitions use about 1129 tokens (~70/item across 16 items; 14 tools + 2 resources), lean.
  - Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples.
- **Stability & Change Management**: 47/100
  - Stability observed for 14 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.
- **Tool Coverage**: 74/100
  - 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).
  - 21% of tool parameters carry a description.
- **Tool Safety**: 100/100
  - No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.
  - We read all 14 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.
  - An AI judge read all 16 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.
- **Capabilities**: 100/100
  - Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).

## Install

### How do I install the media.probable/news MCP server?

media.probable/news is a hosted endpoint at https://probable.media/mcp, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

### Claude

```bash
claude mcp add --transport http media-probable-news 'https://probable.media/mcp'
```

### Cursor

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "media-probable-news": {
      "url": "https://probable.media/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### VS Code

```json
{
  "servers": {
    "media-probable-news": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://probable.media/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### Codex

```toml
[mcp_servers.media-probable-news]
url = "https://probable.media/mcp"
```

### opencode

```json
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "media-probable-news": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://probable.media/mcp",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
```

### OpenClaw

```bash
openclaw mcp add media-probable-news --url 'https://probable.media/mcp' --transport streamable-http
```

### Hermes

```yaml
mcp_servers:
  media-probable-news:
    url: "https://probable.media/mcp"
```

### Netclaw

```json
{
  "McpServers": {
    "media-probable-news": {
      "Transport": "http",
      "Url": "https://probable.media/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### Vellum

```bash
assistant mcp add media-probable-news -t streamable-http -u 'https://probable.media/mcp'
```

### Other

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "media-probable-news": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://probable.media/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.

## Changelog

Every change recorded for this component, newest first. Days that predate change tracking, or that we cannot explain, say so: "we were watching and nothing happened" and "we were not watching" are different claims.

### 2026-09-20 (score 73, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 43 to 47. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 13 days of observed history at the previous scan, 14 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-17 (score 72, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 33 to 37. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 10 days of observed history at the previous scan, 11 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-15 (score 71, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 27 to 30. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 8 days of observed history at the previous scan, 9 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-13 (score 70, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 20 to 23. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 6 days of observed history at the previous scan, 7 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-11 (score 69, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 13 to 17. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 4 days of observed history at the previous scan, 5 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-09 (score 68, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 7 to 10. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 2 days of observed history at the previous scan, 3 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-09-07 (score 67, +1)

- [security] Tool “get_context” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [security] Tool “read_latest_edition” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [security] Tool “score_headline” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [functional improvement] Stability: unverified → 0.03
- [cosmetic] “score_headline” added an optional parameter “referenceContext”

### 2026-09-06 (score 66)

First indexed and scored.

## MCP tools (14)

### `read_latest_edition` (~62 tokens)

Read the latest Probable edition

Read the latest source-grounded Probable edition. Every replacement is a different event observed in the same scan and category with a higher editorial comparison index; that index is not a measured occurrence rate.

Input parameters:

- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.

### `get_brief` (~141 tokens)

Get a compact source-grounded brief

Use for a current news brief or catch-up job. Return a five-story cited brief diversified across category, event class, and publisher by default. Use chronological or all for stable cursor paging. A balanced resumeCursor continues as a complete chronological change stream, even when the client repeats mode=balanced. Follow unreadCursor before saving resumeCursor. Do not use as a general web search or for events Probable did not observe.

Input parameters:

- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.
- `cursor` (string)
- `limit` (integer)
- `mode` (string)
- `since` (string)
- `topic` (string)

### `get_context` (~84 tokens)

Put a headline or known source URL in context

Use when a user supplies a headline or a source URL already observed by Probable and wants same-class context. Optional referenceContext adds explicit country, magnitude, industry or aviation scope for primary-source population references; missingFields and conflicts explain withheld matches. Unknown URLs are not fetched and instead request a headline. Do not use this to verify occurrence, compare unrelated event classes, or forecast.

### `list_editions` (~34 tokens)

List Probable editions and access terms

List every stored edition with public metadata, free/paid status, exact prices, and the URLs that can unlock paid content.

### `read_edition_by_date` (~72 tokens)

Read a public Probable edition by date

Read a stored edition inside the seven-day public window. Older editions return an access boundary and links; this tool never bypasses membership or payment.

Input parameters:

- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.
- `date` (string, required): America/Los_Angeles edition date in YYYY-MM-DD format.

### `export_edition` (~62 tokens)

Export a Founding Pro edition

Export an edition as source-grounded Markdown or CSV. Requires member authorization with exports:read and an active Founding Pro entitlement.

Input parameters:

- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.
- `date` (string)
- `format` (string)

### `list_watches` (~34 tokens)

List Founding Pro saved watches

List the member's saved monitors and recent matches. Requires member authorization with watches:read and an active Founding Pro entitlement.

### `create_watch` (~94 tokens)

Create a saved watch

Create a Founding Pro saved watch. Requires watches:write; repeat the same Idempotency-Key to safely replay the same request.

Input parameters:

- `active` (boolean)
- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.
- `eventClass` (string)
- `idempotencyKey` (string, required)
- `mode` (string, required)
- `name` (string, required)
- `threshold` (number)

### `update_watch` (~86 tokens)

Update a saved watch

Update fields on one owned Founding Pro watch. Requires watches:write and an Idempotency-Key.

Input parameters:

- `active` (boolean)
- `category`
- `eventClass`
- `idempotencyKey` (string, required)
- `mode` (string)
- `name` (string)
- `threshold` (number)
- `watchId` (string, required)

### `acknowledge_watch` (~49 tokens)

Acknowledge saved-watch matches

Mark all currently unread matches on one owned watch as read. Requires watches:write and an Idempotency-Key.

Input parameters:

- `idempotencyKey` (string, required)
- `watchId` (string, required)

### `discover_events` (~83 tokens)

Discover probable, rare, or overweighted events

Use to rank cited events in the latest completed edition by probable, rare, or overweighted mode. Keep research priors separate from measured current-edition counts. Do not describe the result as a forecast or a probability that an event occurred.

Input parameters:

- `category` (string): Only return replacements in this category.
- `limit` (integer)
- `mode` (string, required)

### `score_headline` (~111 tokens)

Score a headline against Probable's observed base rates

Classify one supplied headline and inspect coverage recurrence. Optional referenceContext adds explicit country, magnitude, industry or aviation scope. When sufficiently scoped, occurrenceReference separately supplies primary-source counts, exposure or published population rates with units and source periods. Missing fields, conflicts and hypothetical/disputed/historical wording are disclosed; news mentions never update source rates. Do not verify a headline, compare incompatible units, predict an outcome, or score a URL.

Input parameters:

- `referenceContext` (object)
- `title` (string, required)

### `list_classes` (~37 tokens)

List Probable taxonomy classes

Return the versioned category and event-class catalog used by score_headline. The editorial index is a legacy comparison weight, not an empirical probability.

### `get_membership` (~36 tokens)

Get Probable membership terms

Return Free and Founding Pro terms and available Stripe-hosted checkout URLs. Calling this tool does not open checkout or claim payment success.

## Diagnostics

Captured diagnostic sections: TLS, DNSSEC, Authorisation, Transports. The full working is on the page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable#diagnostics

## Score history

- 2026-09-20: 73
- 2026-09-19: 72
- 2026-09-18: 72
- 2026-09-17: 72
- 2026-09-16: 71
- 2026-09-15: 71
- 2026-09-14: 70
- 2026-09-13: 70
- 2026-09-12: 69
- 2026-09-11: 69
- 2026-09-10: 68
- 2026-09-09: 68
- 2026-09-08: 67
- 2026-09-07: 67
- 2026-09-06: 66

## Common questions

### What is the media.probable/news MCP server?

media.probable/news is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as media.probable/news. Cited news briefs and observed-corpus context. Free public reads; archives $0.10 or seven for $0.50. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://probable.media/mcp).

### Is the media.probable/news MCP server safe to use?

media.probable/news scores 73 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

### What tools does the media.probable/news MCP server expose?

media.probable/news exposes 14 tools: read_latest_edition, get_brief, get_context, list_editions, read_edition_by_date, and 9 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 985 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

### Does the media.probable/news MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to media.probable/news without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

### Is the media.probable/news MCP server still maintained?

media.probable/news is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 20 September 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.

## Links

- Remote endpoint: https://probable.media/mcp
- Repository: https://github.com/betterhumantech/probablemedia
- Changelog RSS feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable.xml
- Changelog JSON feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable.json
- HTML version of this page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/media-probable-news/probable