# NBA Markets Desk (remote · predictionmarketspicks.com)

Kalshi NBA props and game lines vs DraftKings, FanDuel and Novig, plus who gains when a star sits.

- Trust score: 78/100 (medium)
- Change this week: +3
- Registry status: active
- Liveness: live
- Owner verified: no
- Last scored: 2026-11-05

## Components

- remote · `predictionmarketspicks.com`: 78/100 (this document), [markdown](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp.md), [page](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp)

## Channel facts

- Endpoint: `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry`
- Transports: `streamable-http`
- Auth: `none`
- Version: `1.0.0`

## Trust breakdown

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. Scores are 0–100 per category. Scoring method: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring (what has changed: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring/changelog)

Scored 2026-11-05.

- **Endpoint Security**: 80/100
  - The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key.
  - No authorisation is required to call this server. Every tool declares its destructiveHint and none is destructive, so open access doesn't expose one.
  - HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path.
  - The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present.
  - DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC.
- **Transport & Reachability**: 100/100
  - Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake.
- **Schema Quality & AI Usability**: 66/100
  - 75% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).
  - AI-judged instruction clarity (good).
  - Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 1525 tokens (~190/item across 8 items; 7 tools + 1 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params.
  - Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples.
- **Stability & Change Management**: 47/100
  - Stability observed for 14 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.
- **Tool Coverage**: 100/100
  - 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).
  - 100% of tool parameters carry a description.
  - Structured output schemas are declared (43% of tools); any adoption earns full credit.
- **Tool Safety**: 100/100
  - No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.
  - We read all 7 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.
  - An AI judge read all 9 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.
- **Capabilities**: 100/100
  - Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).
  - Supports UI / widget rendering.

## Install

### How do I install the NBA Markets Desk MCP server?

NBA Markets Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

### Claude

```bash
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-nba 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Cursor

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-nba": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### VS Code

```json
{
  "servers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-nba": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Codex

```toml
[mcp_servers.com-predictionmarketspicks-nba]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
```

### opencode

```json
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-nba": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
```

### OpenClaw

```bash
openclaw mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-nba --url 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry' --transport streamable-http
```

### Hermes

```yaml
mcp_servers:
  com-predictionmarketspicks-nba:
    url: "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
```

### Netclaw

```json
{
  "McpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-nba": {
      "Transport": "http",
      "Url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Vellum

```bash
assistant mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-nba -t streamable-http -u 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Other

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-nba": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.

## Changelog

Every change recorded for this component, newest first. Days that predate change tracking, or that we cannot explain, say so: "we were watching and nothing happened" and "we were not watching" are different claims.

### 2026-11-05 (score 78, 0)

- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “marketPrice”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “winProbability”
- [cosmetic] “nba_game_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “nba_prop_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” made “marketPrice” optional
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” made “winProbability” optional

### 2026-11-04 (score 78, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 40 to 43. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 12 days of observed history at the previous scan, 13 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-11-01 (score 77, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 30 to 33. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 9 days of observed history at the previous scan, 10 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-30 (score 76, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 23 to 27. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 7 days of observed history at the previous scan, 8 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-28 (score 75, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 17 to 20. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 5 days of observed history at the previous scan, 6 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-26 (score 74, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 10 to 13. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 3 days of observed history at the previous scan, 4 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-24 (score 73, +1)

- [security] Tool “find_arbitrage” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [cosmetic] “convert_probability” reworded the description of “value”
- [cosmetic] “find_arbitrage” reworded the description of “minGap”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “bankroll”
- [cosmetic] “nba_game_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “nba_prop_board” reworded the description of “limit”

### 2026-10-23 (score 72, 0)

- [functional improvement] Stability: unverified → 0.03

## MCP tools (7)

### `nba_prop_board` (~174 tokens)

NBA Prop Price Board (Kalshi vs the books)

Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

Input parameters:

- `game` (string): Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
- `limit` (number|string|null): Max rows (default 15; 4 when the call has no arguments).
- `player` (string): Player name (partial).
- `statType`: Optional stat. One of: pts · reb · ast · threes.
- `team` (string): Team code or name (LAL, Lakers).

### `nba_game_board` (~163 tokens)

NBA Game Line Board (Kalshi vs the books)

Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

Input parameters:

- `game` (string): Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
- `limit` (number|string|null): Max games (default 5; 2 when the call has no arguments).
- `market`: Optional market. One of: moneyline · spread · total.
- `team` (string): Team code or name (NYK, Knicks).

### `nba_injury_impact` (~196 tokens)

NBA Injury Report + Who Benefits (with/without splits)

Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.

Input parameters:

- `game` (string): Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ NYK".
- `player` (string): The absent player, or a teammate to look up (partial name).
- `stat`: Stat to rank beneficiaries by (default points). One of: pts · reb · ast · min · usg · fg3m · stl · blk.
- `team` (string): Team code or name (PHI, Sixers).

### `find_arbitrage` (~131 tokens)

Find Sports Arbitrage Gaps

Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

Input parameters:

- `minGap` (number|string): Minimum gap in percentage points to include (default 3 = WATCH threshold).

### `calculate_ev` (~194 tokens)

Calculate EV Edge

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

Input parameters:

- `marketPrice` (number|string): Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
- `yourProbability` (number|string): Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

Output parameters:

- `data_freshness`
- `edge_pct`: Expected-value edge, %.
- `edge_pp`: Your probability minus the price, pp.
- `example_call`
- `interpretation`: Plain-English read.
- `market_price_cents`: Price used, cents.
- `needs_input`
- `signal`: BUY / SELL / SKIP.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)
- `your_probability_pct`: Probability used, %.

### `kelly_size` (~300 tokens)

Kelly Position Size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

Input parameters:

- `bankroll` (number|string): Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure.
- `fraction`: Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth.
- `marketPrice` (number|string): Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Omit both this and winProbability for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…
- `winProbability` (number|string): Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Omit both this and marketPrice for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…

Output parameters:

- `applied_fraction_pct`: The fraction applied, %.
- `data_freshness`
- `example_call`
- `full_kelly_pct`: Full-Kelly fraction of bankroll, %.
- `needs_input`
- `rating`: Qualitative read of the sizing.
- `sources`
- `stake_dollars`: Suggested stake in dollars (when a bankroll was given).
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

### `convert_probability` (~142 tokens)

Convert Probability / Odds

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

Input parameters:

- `format`: Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal.
- `value` (number|string): The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format.

Output parameters:

- `american_odds`: American odds, no commas.
- `data_freshness`
- `decimal_odds`: Decimal odds.
- `example_call`
- `needs_input`
- `probability_pct`: Implied probability, %.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

## Diagnostics

Captured diagnostic sections: TLS, DNSSEC, Authorisation, Transports. The full working is on the page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp#diagnostics

## Score history

- 2026-11-05: 78
- 2026-11-04: 78
- 2026-11-03: 77
- 2026-11-02: 77
- 2026-11-01: 77
- 2026-10-31: 76
- 2026-10-30: 76
- 2026-10-29: 75
- 2026-10-28: 75
- 2026-10-27: 74
- 2026-10-26: 74
- 2026-10-25: 73
- 2026-10-24: 73
- 2026-10-23: 72
- 2026-10-22: 72

## Common questions

### What is the NBA Markets Desk MCP server?

NBA Markets Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/nba. Kalshi NBA props and game lines vs DraftKings, FanDuel and Novig, plus who gains when a star sits. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry).

### Is the NBA Markets Desk MCP server safe to use?

NBA Markets Desk scores 78 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

### What tools does the NBA Markets Desk MCP server expose?

NBA Markets Desk exposes 7 tools: nba_prop_board, nba_game_board, nba_injury_impact, find_arbitrage, calculate_ev, and 2 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 1,300 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

### Does the NBA Markets Desk MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to NBA Markets Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

### Is the NBA Markets Desk MCP server still maintained?

NBA Markets Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 5 November 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.

## Links

- Remote endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-nba/mcp?via=registry
- Repository: https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Website: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp/nba
- Changelog RSS feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp.xml
- Changelog JSON feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp.json
- HTML version of this page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-nba/api-mcp-nba-mcp
