# Election Odds Desk (remote · predictionmarketspicks.com)

Kalshi odds for 2026 Senate, governor and House races, the Senate map, and the next Fed meeting.

- Trust score: 84/100 (high trust)
- Change this week: +3
- Registry status: active
- Liveness: live
- Owner verified: no
- Last scored: 2026-11-05

## Components

- remote · `predictionmarketspicks.com`: 84/100 (this document), [markdown](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp.md), [page](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp)

## Channel facts

- Endpoint: `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry`
- Transports: `streamable-http`
- Auth: `none`
- Version: `1.2.0`

## Trust breakdown

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. Scores are 0–100 per category. Scoring method: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring (what has changed: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring/changelog)

Scored 2026-11-05.

- **Endpoint Security**: 80/100
  - The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key.
  - No authorisation is required to call this server. Every tool declares its destructiveHint and none is destructive, so open access doesn't expose one.
  - HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path.
  - The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present.
  - DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC.
- **Transport & Reachability**: 100/100
  - Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake.
- **Schema Quality & AI Usability**: 69/100
  - 75% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).
  - AI-judged instruction clarity (good).
  - Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 886 tokens (~147/item across 6 items; 5 tools + 1 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params.
  - Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples.
- **Stability & Change Management**: 80/100
  - Stability observed for 24 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.
- **Tool Coverage**: 100/100
  - 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).
  - 100% of tool parameters carry a description.
  - Structured output schemas are declared (20% of tools); any adoption earns full credit.
- **Tool Safety**: 100/100
  - No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.
  - We read all 5 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.
  - An AI judge read all 7 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.
- **Capabilities**: 100/100
  - Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).
  - Supports UI / widget rendering.

## Install

### How do I install the Election Odds Desk MCP server?

Election Odds Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

### Claude

```bash
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-elections 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Cursor

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-elections": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### VS Code

```json
{
  "servers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-elections": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Codex

```toml
[mcp_servers.com-predictionmarketspicks-elections]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
```

### opencode

```json
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-elections": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
```

### OpenClaw

```bash
openclaw mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-elections --url 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry' --transport streamable-http
```

### Hermes

```yaml
mcp_servers:
  com-predictionmarketspicks-elections:
    url: "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
```

### Netclaw

```json
{
  "McpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-elections": {
      "Transport": "http",
      "Url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Vellum

```bash
assistant mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-elections -t streamable-http -u 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Other

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-elections": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.

## Changelog

Every change recorded for this component, newest first. Days that predate change tracking, or that we cannot explain, say so: "we were watching and nothing happened" and "we were not watching" are different claims.

### 2026-11-05 (score 84, 0)

- [cosmetic] “fed_rate_odds” added an optional parameter “horizon”
- [cosmetic] “senate_map” added an optional parameter “limit”
- [cosmetic] “race_odds” reworded the description of “race”
- [cosmetic] “race_odds” made “race” optional

### 2026-11-04 (score 84, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 73 to 77. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 22 days of observed history at the previous scan, 23 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-11-02 (score 83, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 67 to 70. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 20 days of observed history at the previous scan, 21 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-31 (score 82, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 60 to 63. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 18 days of observed history at the previous scan, 19 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-29 (score 81, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 53 to 57. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 16 days of observed history at the previous scan, 17 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-27 (score 80, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 47 to 50. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 14 days of observed history at the previous scan, 15 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-25 (score 79, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 40 to 43. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 12 days of observed history at the previous scan, 13 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-23 (score 78, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 33 to 37. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 10 days of observed history at the previous scan, 11 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

## MCP tools (5)

### `senate_map` (~116 tokens)

2026 Senate Map — every seat, market price vs structure rating vs forecasters

Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.

Input parameters:

- `limit` (number|string|null): Seats to return, closest race first, with every field (default: the 8 closest, without the forecaster detail).

### `race_odds` (~133 tokens)

2026 Race Odds — one Senate, governor or House race with every Kalshi leg

Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.

Input parameters:

- `race` (string): State name or code, a race slug (kansas-senate, michigan-governor, tx-34-house), or a House district (TX-34). Omit to list the races available.

### `best_price` (~217 tokens)

Best Price After Fees — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs Novig

Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost to buy one contract including each venue's taker fee, with the cheapest named. Sports games (team, league or matchup), 2026 midterm races (state, slug or district) or the next FOMC meeting. Ranked by price only.

Input parameters:

- `league` (string): NBA, NHL, NFL or MLB.
- `meeting` (string): Any value asks for the next FOMC meeting.
- `q` (string): Free text: a team, matchup, race or "next Fed meeting".
- `race` (string): A 2026 race: state, slug (georgia-senate) or district (AZ-01).
- `teams` (string): One or two teams, e.g. "Bears" or "NE @ CHI".

### `fed_rate_odds` (~109 tokens)

Fed Rate Odds (FOMC)

Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

Input parameters:

- `horizon` (number|string|null): Meetings in the rate path (default 3).

Output parameters:

- `by_venue`: Next-meeting odds by venue (Kalshi, Polymarket, CME futures).
- `current_target_range`: Current fed funds target range.
- `data_freshness`
- `divergence_pp`: Headline cross-venue gap for the next meeting, pp.
- `example_call`
- `needs_input`
- `next_meeting`: Next FOMC meeting: date, days until, strike breakdown.
- `rate_path_2026`: Implied outcome at each remaining 2026 meeting.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

### `market_pulse` (~110 tokens)

Market Pulse — Macro

The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

Input parameters:

- `topic`: macro = the US macro-health composite (the only topic). One of: macro.

## Diagnostics

Captured diagnostic sections: TLS, DNSSEC, Authorisation, Transports. The full working is on the page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp#diagnostics

## Score history

- 2026-11-05: 84
- 2026-11-04: 84
- 2026-11-03: 83
- 2026-11-02: 83
- 2026-11-01: 82
- 2026-10-31: 82
- 2026-10-30: 81
- 2026-10-29: 81
- 2026-10-28: 80
- 2026-10-27: 80
- 2026-10-26: 79
- 2026-10-25: 79
- 2026-10-24: 78
- 2026-10-23: 78
- 2026-10-22: 77
- 2026-10-21: 77
- 2026-10-20: 77
- 2026-10-19: 76
- 2026-10-18: 76
- 2026-10-17: 76
- 2026-10-16: 75
- 2026-10-15: 75
- 2026-10-14: 74
- 2026-10-13: 74
- 2026-10-12: 73

## Common questions

### What is the Election Odds Desk MCP server?

Election Odds Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/elections. Kalshi odds for 2026 Senate, governor and House races, the Senate map, and the next Fed meeting. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry).

### Is the Election Odds Desk MCP server safe to use?

Election Odds Desk scores 84 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

### What tools does the Election Odds Desk MCP server expose?

Election Odds Desk exposes 5 tools: senate_map, race_odds, best_price, fed_rate_odds, market_pulse. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 685 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

### Does the Election Odds Desk MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to Election Odds Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

### Is the Election Odds Desk MCP server still maintained?

Election Odds Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 5 November 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.

## Links

- Remote endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry
- Repository: https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Website: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/elections
- Changelog RSS feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp.xml
- Changelog JSON feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp.json
- HTML version of this page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-elections/api-mcp-elections-mcp