# Crypto Markets Desk (remote · predictionmarketspicks.com)

Kalshi 15-minute crypto markets, perps funding, liquidation math and bitcoin model edges.

- Trust score: 82/100 (high trust)
- Change this week: +3
- Registry status: active
- Liveness: live
- Owner verified: no
- Last scored: 2026-11-05

## Components

- remote · `predictionmarketspicks.com`: 82/100 (this document), [markdown](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp.md), [page](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp)

## Channel facts

- Endpoint: `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry`
- Transports: `streamable-http`
- Auth: `none`
- Version: `1.1.0`

## Trust breakdown

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. Scores are 0–100 per category. Scoring method: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring (what has changed: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring/changelog)

Scored 2026-11-05.

- **Endpoint Security**: 80/100
  - The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key.
  - No authorisation is required to call this server. Every tool declares its destructiveHint and none is destructive, so open access doesn't expose one.
  - HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path.
  - The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present.
  - DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC.
- **Transport & Reachability**: 100/100
  - Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake.
- **Schema Quality & AI Usability**: 61/100
  - 60% of prompts and resources have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the item's name).
  - AI-judged instruction clarity (good).
  - Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 1584 tokens (~176/item across 9 items; 7 tools + 2 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params.
  - Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples.
- **Stability & Change Management**: 80/100
  - Stability observed for 24 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.
- **Tool Coverage**: 100/100
  - 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).
  - 100% of tool parameters carry a description.
  - Structured output schemas are declared (71% of tools); any adoption earns full credit.
- **Tool Safety**: 100/100
  - No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.
  - We read all 7 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.
  - An AI judge read all 9 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.
- **Capabilities**: 100/100
  - Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).
  - Supports UI / widget rendering.

## Install

### How do I install the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server?

Crypto Markets Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

### Claude

```bash
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Cursor

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### VS Code

```json
{
  "servers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Codex

```toml
[mcp_servers.com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
```

### opencode

```json
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
```

### OpenClaw

```bash
openclaw mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto --url 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry' --transport streamable-http
```

### Hermes

```yaml
mcp_servers:
  com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto:
    url: "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
```

### Netclaw

```json
{
  "McpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto": {
      "Transport": "http",
      "Url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

### Vellum

```bash
assistant mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto -t streamable-http -u 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry'
```

### Other

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}
```

The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.

## Changelog

Every change recorded for this component, newest first. Days that predate change tracking, or that we cannot explain, say so: "we were watching and nothing happened" and "we were not watching" are different claims.

### 2026-11-05 (score 82, 0)

- [cosmetic] “fifteen_min_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “marketPrice”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “winProbability”
- [cosmetic] “perps_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” made “marketPrice” optional
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” made “winProbability” optional

### 2026-11-04 (score 82, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 73 to 77. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 22 days of observed history at the previous scan, 23 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-11-01 (score 81, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 63 to 67. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 19 days of observed history at the previous scan, 20 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-30 (score 80, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 57 to 60. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 17 days of observed history at the previous scan, 18 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-28 (score 79, +1)

- [cosmetic] “fifteen_min_board” added an optional parameter “horizon”

### 2026-10-26 (score 78, +1)

No change was recorded against any check on this day. Stability & Change Management went from 43 to 47. That category is still filling its 30-day observation window: 13 days of observed history at the previous scan, 14 at this one. The score rises as the window fills, whether or not the server changes.

### 2026-10-24 (score 77, +1)

- [security] Tool “fifteen_min_board” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [functional improvement] Schema quality: 190 → 165
- [cosmetic] “commodity_edge” reworded the description of “tickers”
- [cosmetic] “convert_probability” reworded the description of “value”
- [cosmetic] “fifteen_min_board” reworded the description of “limit”
- [cosmetic] “kelly_size” reworded the description of “bankroll”
- [cosmetic] “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “asset”
- [cosmetic] “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “entry”
- [cosmetic] “perp_liquidation” reworded the description of “margin”
- [cosmetic] “perps_board” reworded the description of “limit”

### 2026-10-23 (score 76, 0)

- [security] Tool “fifteen_min_board” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads

## MCP tools (7)

### `fifteen_min_board` (~240 tokens)

Kalshi 15-Minute Markets — every series, live

Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.

Input parameters:

- `asset_class`: crypto · commodity · currency · all (default all).
- `horizon`: 15m (Kalshi, default) or 5m (Polymarket US BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; Kalshi lists none). One of: 15m · 5m.
- `limit` (number|string|null): Max rows (default 30; 4 when the call has no arguments).
- `open_only` (boolean): Only series with a window open right now (default false).
- `series` (string): One series: ticker (KXETH15M) or asset ("eth", "gold", "euro").

Output parameters:

- `as_of`: When the board was read.
- `data_freshness`
- `example_call`
- `needs_input`
- `our_model`: Bitcoin only: our published top-of-hour strategy — version and status ("current version": it stays until it breaks), live_record (our own Kalshi account, after fees), paper record, last_call (the bot…
- `rows`: Kalshi 15-minute series: window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source, up rate; for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP the same window on Polymarket (international, live book: price_source, as_of), a…
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

### `perps_board` (~123 tokens)

Kalshi Perps Board — price, leverage and funding for every perp

Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

Input parameters:

- `asset` (string): One perp: symbol or name ("btc", "gold", "XAG").
- `limit` (number|string|null): Max rows (default 25; 8 when the call has no arguments).

Output parameters:

- `as_of`: When the board was read.
- `data_freshness`
- `example_call`
- `needs_input`
- `rows`: Kalshi perps: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage, funding.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

### `perp_liquidation` (~226 tokens)

Kalshi Perp Liquidation — where a leveraged position gets closed out

Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

Input parameters:

- `asset`: The perp.
- `entry` (number|string): Entry price (default: the live price).
- `hold_days` (number): Days held, for the funding estimate (default 7).
- `leverage` (number|string): Leverage, e.g. 5 or "5x". Capped at Kalshi’s maximum for the size and side.
- `margin` (number|string): Margin in dollars (default 1000).
- `side`: Direction. One of: long · short.

### `commodity_edge` (~159 tokens)

Commodity Edge (Gold / Silver / Oil / Bitcoin)

Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

Input parameters:

- `commodity`: Which commodity edge to read (needed for a real answer). One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil.
- `tickers` (array): Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered.

### `calculate_ev` (~194 tokens)

Calculate EV Edge

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

Input parameters:

- `marketPrice` (number|string): Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
- `yourProbability` (number|string): Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

Output parameters:

- `data_freshness`
- `edge_pct`: Expected-value edge, %.
- `edge_pp`: Your probability minus the price, pp.
- `example_call`
- `interpretation`: Plain-English read.
- `market_price_cents`: Price used, cents.
- `needs_input`
- `signal`: BUY / SELL / SKIP.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)
- `your_probability_pct`: Probability used, %.

### `kelly_size` (~300 tokens)

Kelly Position Size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

Input parameters:

- `bankroll` (number|string): Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure.
- `fraction`: Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth.
- `marketPrice` (number|string): Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Omit both this and winProbability for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…
- `winProbability` (number|string): Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Omit both this and marketPrice for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) —…

Output parameters:

- `applied_fraction_pct`: The fraction applied, %.
- `data_freshness`
- `example_call`
- `full_kelly_pct`: Full-Kelly fraction of bankroll, %.
- `needs_input`
- `rating`: Qualitative read of the sizing.
- `sources`
- `stake_dollars`: Suggested stake in dollars (when a bankroll was given).
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

### `convert_probability` (~142 tokens)

Convert Probability / Odds

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

Input parameters:

- `format`: Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal.
- `value` (number|string): The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format.

Output parameters:

- `american_odds`: American odds, no commas.
- `data_freshness`
- `decimal_odds`: Decimal odds.
- `example_call`
- `needs_input`
- `probability_pct`: Implied probability, %.
- `sources`
- `tell_user` (string): Show this sentence to the user first.
- `timestamp` (string)

## Diagnostics

Captured diagnostic sections: TLS, DNSSEC, Authorisation, Transports. The full working is on the page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp#diagnostics

## Score history

- 2026-11-05: 82
- 2026-11-04: 82
- 2026-11-03: 81
- 2026-11-02: 81
- 2026-11-01: 81
- 2026-10-31: 80
- 2026-10-30: 80
- 2026-10-29: 79
- 2026-10-28: 79
- 2026-10-27: 78
- 2026-10-26: 78
- 2026-10-25: 77
- 2026-10-24: 77
- 2026-10-23: 76
- 2026-10-22: 76
- 2026-10-21: 75
- 2026-10-20: 75
- 2026-10-19: 74
- 2026-10-18: 74
- 2026-10-17: 73
- 2026-10-16: 73
- 2026-10-15: 72
- 2026-10-14: 72
- 2026-10-13: 71
- 2026-10-12: 71

## Common questions

### What is the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server?

Crypto Markets Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/crypto. Kalshi 15-minute crypto markets, perps funding, liquidation math and bitcoin model edges. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry).

### Is the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server safe to use?

Crypto Markets Desk scores 82 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

### What tools does the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server expose?

Crypto Markets Desk exposes 7 tools: fifteen_min_board, perps_board, perp_liquidation, commodity_edge, calculate_ev, and 2 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 1,384 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

### Does the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to Crypto Markets Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

### Is the Crypto Markets Desk MCP server still maintained?

Crypto Markets Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 5 November 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.

## Links

- Remote endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=registry
- Repository: https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Website: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/crypto-markets
- Changelog RSS feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp.xml
- Changelog JSON feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp.json
- HTML version of this page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-crypto/api-mcp-crypto-mcp