# Commodities Markets Desk (remote · predictionmarketspicks.com)

Kalshi gold, silver, oil and crypto: live 15-minute markets, perps liquidation, and model edges.

- Trust score: 65/100 (medium)
- Registry status: active
- Liveness: live
- Owner verified: no
- Last scored: 2026-09-27

## Components

- remote · `predictionmarketspicks.com`: 65/100 (this document), [markdown](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp.md), [page](https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp)

## Channel facts

- Endpoint: `https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp`
- Transports: `streamable-http`
- Auth: `none`
- Version: `1.0.0`

## Trust breakdown

How this component scores in each security and reliability category. Every signal is checked automatically against the live server, and we only credit what we can confirm. Scores are 0–100 per category. Scoring method: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring (what has changed: https://verifymcp.io/docs/scoring/changelog)

Scored 2026-09-27.

- **Endpoint Security**: 63/100
  - The endpoint's TLS certificate is valid, in date, and uses a strong key.
  - Authorisation not fully verified: no authorisation is required to call this server, and 8 tool(s) never declared a destructiveHint. The MCP spec treats an absent hint as destructive by default, so we cannot call this surface safe.
  - HTTPS is enforced; there's no plaintext access path.
  - The HSTS (Strict-Transport-Security) header is present.
  - DNSSEC check failed: this domain isn't protected by DNSSEC.
- **Transport & Reachability**: 100/100
  - Verified streamable-http transport via a live MCP handshake.
- **Schema Quality & AI Usability**: 63/100
  - AI-judged instruction clarity (excellent).
  - Context-footprint check failed: tool/resource definitions use about 2103 tokens (~262/item across 8 items; 8 tools + 0 resources), over budget; trim descriptions and params.
  - Usage-examples check failed: none of the tools include examples.
- **Stability & Change Management**: 3/100
  - Stability observed for 1 of 30 days with no destabilising changes; credit accrues until the full window elapses.
- **Tool Coverage**: 100/100
  - 100% of tools have a non-trivial description (not blank, and not just the tool's name).
  - 100% of tool parameters carry a description.
- **Tool Safety**: 100/100
  - No prompt-injection markers were found in the server instructions, tool names or descriptions we captured.
  - We read all 8 captured tool definition(s), and no name or description among them implies an irreversible operation.
  - An AI judge read all 9 captured unit(s) of tool text and found none that tries to manipulate the model reading it.
- **Capabilities**: 100/100
  - Implements a current MCP spec version (2026-07-28).
  - Supports UI / widget rendering.

## Install

### How do I install the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server?

Commodities Markets Desk is a hosted endpoint at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp, so there is nothing to install locally. Ready-made configuration for Claude, Cursor, VS Code, Codex and 5 more is on this page, copied from each client's own documentation.

### Claude

```bash
claude mcp add --transport http com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp'
```

### Cursor

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### VS Code

```json
{
  "servers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### Codex

```toml
[mcp_servers.com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities]
url = "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
```

### opencode

```json
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
```

### OpenClaw

```bash
openclaw mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities --url 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp' --transport streamable-http
```

### Hermes

```yaml
mcp_servers:
  com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities:
    url: "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
```

### Netclaw

```json
{
  "McpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities": {
      "Transport": "http",
      "Url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

### Vellum

```bash
assistant mcp add com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities -t streamable-http -u 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp'
```

### Other

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp"
    }
  }
}
```

The mcpServers block is a cross-client convention. Remote transports vary, so check your client's docs.

## Changelog

Every change recorded for this component, newest first. Days that predate change tracking, or that we cannot explain, say so: "we were watching and nothing happened" and "we were not watching" are different claims.

### 2026-09-27 (score 65, 0)

- [security] Tool “perp_liquidation” rewrote its description, which is the text the model reads
- [functional improvement] Stability: unverified → 0.03

### 2026-09-26 (score 65)

First indexed and scored.

## MCP tools (8)

### `fifteen_min_board` (~289 tokens)

Kalshi 15-Minute Markets — every series, live

Kalshi's 15-minute up-or-down markets, live: every trading series (bitcoin, ETH, XRP, SOL, gold, silver, WTI oil, natural gas, copper, platinum, palladium, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Coin Race and more) with whether a window is open, the YES price (two-sided mid), the window's close time, Kalshi's target price, what the series settles on, and the share of the last 96 windows that settled up. Pass `series` for one market ("eth", "KXETH15M", "natural gas") or `asset_class` to filter. Also lists the pre-launch S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Treasury-yield series. Free, no key. Use for "what is the ETH 15 minute market doing", "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open", "KXBTC15M price now", "how does the Kalshi gold 15-minute market settle".

Input parameters:

- `asset_class`: crypto · commodity · currency · all (default all).
- `limit` (integer): Max rows (default 30).
- `open_only` (boolean): Only series with a window open right now (default false).
- `series` (string): One series: ticker (KXETH15M) or asset ("eth", "gold", "euro").

### `perps_board` (~167 tokens)

Kalshi Perps Board — price, leverage and funding for every perp

Every Kalshi perpetual future, live: price, 24h volume, open interest, Kalshi's max leverage (long and short at a $1,000 position), funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch (annualized, plus the share of windows that paid nothing). Pass `asset` for one perp ("btc", "gold", "silver", "ETH"). Free, no key. Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate", "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps", "list Kalshi perps", "what does holding a Kalshi BTC perp cost".

Input parameters:

- `asset` (string): One perp: symbol or name ("btc", "gold", "XAG").
- `limit` (integer): Max rows (default 25).

### `perp_liquidation` (~366 tokens)

Kalshi Perp Liquidation — where a leveraged position gets closed out

Estimate where a Kalshi perp position liquidates, from Kalshi’s published risk parameters calibrated against Kalshi’s app: liquidation price and the % move to it (vs the 100÷leverage rule, which Kalshi’s maintenance margin makes far too generous — a 5x bitcoin long is about 8% from liquidation, not 20%), plus round-trip fees and expected funding over the hold. Kalshi caps leverage by size and side; the estimate says when it applied the cap. An ESTIMATE — Kalshi's app shows the exact figure once a position is open. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free, no key. Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi", "Kalshi gold perp 10x liquidation price", "how far can silver move before my Kalshi short is liquidated".

Input parameters:

- `asset` (required): The perp. One of: btc · eth · sol · xrp · doge · hype · link · gold · silver · platinum · palladium.
- `entry`: Entry price (default: the live price). Accepts a number or a numeric string ("+150", "62%", "2.5").
- `hold_days` (number): Days held, for the funding estimate (default 7).
- `leverage` (required): Leverage, e.g. 5 or "5x". Capped at Kalshi’s maximum for the size and side.
- `margin`: Margin in dollars (default 1000). Accepts a number or a numeric string ("+150", "62%", "2.5").
- `side` (required): Direction. One of: long · short.

### `commodity_edge` (~274 tokens)

Commodity Edge (Gold / Silver / Oil / Bitcoin)

Get today's highest-conviction gold, silver, WTI oil or bitcoin trade signal from the PMP edge model — the Kalshi daily gold (KXGOLDD), daily silver (KXSILVERD), daily WTI (KXWTI) or hourly bitcoin (KXBTCD) strike with the largest model edge, as a trade ticket: entry side and price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge in percentage points, confidence tier, and quarter-Kelly sizing. Pro key required. Use for "gold edge today", "silver edge today", "oil trade signal", "bitcoin trade signal", "is there a commodity edge". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (returns the signal only if it matches the strike PMP is modeling).

Input parameters:

- `commodity` (required): Which commodity edge to read. One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil.
- `tickers` (array): Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25) — e.g. paste the tickers from your Kalshi Pro screener or Canvas to get PMP's edge on exactly those markets. Full market or 3-segment event tickers both wo…

### `market_pulse` (~127 tokens)

Market Pulse — Macro

The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). The composite and the regime call are free without a key, always, along with 2 category scores; one email returns 4 and Pro returns all six. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off". (NFL edges moved to the dedicated nfl_edge tool.)

Input parameters:

- `topic` (string): macro = US macro-health composite (the only topic — NFL is now the nfl_edge tool).

### `convert_probability` (~150 tokens)

Convert Probability / Odds

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

Input parameters:

- `format` (required): Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal.
- `value` (required): The numeric value to convert. Accepts a number or a numeric string ("+150", "62%", "2.5").

### `calculate_ev` (~248 tokens)

Calculate EV Edge

Calculate the expected-value edge on a Kalshi or Polymarket prediction-market contract. Given the current market price (in cents, i.e. the implied probability) and your own probability estimate, returns the % edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal with a plain-English read. Use for "is this contract mispriced", "what is my edge", "should I take this position". From the PredictionMarketsPicks desk, which publishes a settled per-engine record — every signal graded against the market that priced it, wins and losses both: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.

Input parameters:

- `marketPrice` (required): Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
- `yourProbability` (required): Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

### `kelly_size` (~269 tokens)

Kelly Position Size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

Input parameters:

- `bankroll`: Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure. Accepts a number or a numeric string ("1000", "$1,000").
- `fraction` (string): Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default.
- `marketPrice` (required): Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
- `winProbability` (required): Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

## Diagnostics

Captured diagnostic sections: TLS, DNSSEC, Authorisation, Transports. The full working is on the page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp#diagnostics

## Score history

- 2026-09-27: 65
- 2026-09-26: 65

## Common questions

### What is the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server?

Commodities Markets Desk is an MCP server listed in the public MCP registry as com.predictionmarketspicks/commodities. Kalshi gold, silver, oil and crypto: live 15-minute markets, perps liquidation, and model edges. This page covers its hosted endpoint (https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp).

### Is the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server safe to use?

Commodities Markets Desk scores 65 out of 100 on VerifyMCP. That is a record of what we were able to check automatically, not an endorsement. The category breakdown on this page shows every signal behind the number, including the ones we could not confirm.

### What tools does the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server expose?

Commodities Markets Desk exposes 8 tools: fifteen_min_board, perps_board, perp_liquidation, commodity_edge, market_pulse, and 3 more. Their descriptions and schemas cost roughly 1,890 tokens of context every time the server is loaded.

### Does the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server require authentication?

No. We connected to Commodities Markets Desk without credentials and it answered, so anything it exposes is reachable by anyone who knows the address.

### Is the Commodities Markets Desk MCP server still maintained?

Commodities Markets Desk is still listed as active in the MCP registry. We last reached this channel on 27 September 2026. Those dates come from our own scans of the registry and the channel itself, not from anything the publisher announced.

## Links

- Remote endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp
- Repository: https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Website: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/commodity-markets
- Changelog RSS feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp.xml
- Changelog JSON feed: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp.json
- HTML version of this page: https://verifymcp.io/servers/com-predictionmarketspicks-commodities/api-mcp-commodities-mcp